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Fertility Intention for the Second Child under the Selective and Universal Two-Child Policies: Comparisons and Implications
Zhang Xiaoqing, Huang Caihong, Zhang Qiang, Chen Shuangshuang, Fan Qipeng
Population Research    2016, 40 (1): 87-97.  
Abstract114)            Save
Fertility intention is the preponed variable affecting the actual fertility level,providing im- portant information for predicting fertility level.A survey with a large sample size is conducted to investi- gate the fertility desires for wanting the second child of the couples under the selective and universal two-child policies in Shandong Province.The results show that the fertility desires and the ideal number of children in the two types of families are basically the same,and factors including subjective consider- ations,regional disparity,residential properties,education level,and the sex of the first child also have similar effects on the fertility desires of the two types of families.However,salient gaps exist in fertility planning,subjective considerations for not wanting to have the second child,and zodiac preference between the two types of families.Under a binary logistic regression model,sex of the first child,age, region,and subjective considerations show significant impact on fertility desires for wanting the second child in the two types of families.Furthermore,couples under the universal two-child policy primarily consider the risk of losing the only child as the intention for wanting the second one,while couples un- der the selective two-child policy care more about pension and psychological needs which are stated to be the main reasons of wanting the second child.
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Cited: Baidu(10)
Fertility Intention for the Second Child under the Selective and Universal Two-Child Policies: Comparisons and Implications
Zhang Xiaoqing,Huang Caihong,Zhang Qiang,Chen Shuangshuang,Fan Qipeng
Population Research    2016, 40 (1): 87-97.  
Abstract741)      PDF (165KB)(2720)       Save
Fertility intention is the preponed variable affecting the actual fertility level,providing important information for predicting fertility level.A survey with a large sample size is conducted to investigate the fertility desires for wanting the second child of the couples under the selective and universal two-child policies in Shandong Province.The results show that the fertility desires and the ideal number of children in the two types of families are basically the same,and factors including subjective considerations,regional disparity,residential properties,education level,and the sex of the first child also have similar effects on the fertility desires of the two types of families.However,salient gaps exist in fertility planning,subjective considerations for not wanting to have the second child,and zodiac preference between the two types of families.Under a binary logistic regression model,sex of the first child,age, region,and subjective considerations show significant impact on fertility desires for wanting the second child in the two types of families.Furthermore,couples under the universal two-child policy primarily consider the risk of losing the only child as the intention for wanting the second one,while couples un- der the selective two-child policy care more about pension and psychological needs which are stated to be the main reasons of wanting the second child.
Related Articles | Metrics
Cited: Baidu(10)